Inter Milan v Juventus
Serie A · San Siro · Sat 12 Apr · 20:45
Home Win
1.95
Upcoming
LARGE
Predicted: 1-0
Match Preview
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Inter Milan vs Juventus — The Derby d'Italia at San Siro is a monumental clash for the Scudetto race. Inter have been imperious at home, relying on a deeply structured 3-5-2 that suffocates central areas while exploiting the wings. Juventus have built their season on defensive solidity, managing 14 clean sheets this campaign, but their away attacking output against top-four opposition is notoriously poor (averaging just 0.72 xG). Inter's midfield control and superior depth from the bench give them the edge in what will likely be a tactical, low-scoring affair.
Home Win at 1.95 is the premium selection.
Inter Home W 12 in 15
Juve Away xG (Top 4) 0.72
Inter xG 1.85
Juve xGA 0.81
AS Roma v Lazio
Serie A · Stadio Olimpico · Sat 12 Apr · 18:00
Draw
3.10
Upcoming
MEDIUM
Predicted: 1-1
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AS Roma vs Lazio — The Derby della Capitale is famously tense, fiery, and often tight. Both Rome clubs are vying for European spots, adding immense pressure to the fixture. Roma have drawn 4 of their last 6 matches, showing resilience but a lack of cutting edge. Lazio's away form (technically the "away" side at the shared Olimpico) has been conservative. Three of the last five derbies have ended level or been decided by a single goal. Fear of losing will likely dictate the tempo.
Draw at 3.10 offers massive value here.
Roma Draws 4 in 6
Derby H2H Tight/Under 2.5
Combined xG 2.10
Napoli v Atalanta
Serie A · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona · Sat 12 Apr · 15:00
BTTS Yes
1.65
Upcoming
LARGE
Predicted: 2-1
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Napoli vs Atalanta — A break from the typical Italian tactical caution. Atalanta plays a high-risk, man-to-man pressing system that consistently leads to high-scoring games; they have seen BTTS land in 65% of their away matches. Napoli at the Maradona possess too much attacking flair not to exploit the spaces Atalanta leaves behind, but their own defensive transitions have looked highly vulnerable to quick counters.
BTTS Yes at 1.65 is the most statistically secure goals bet of the Serie A weekend.
Atalanta Away BTTS 65%
Napoli Home Scored 13 in 15
Combined xG 3.40
AC Milan v Fiorentina
Serie A · San Siro · Sun 13 Apr · 15:00
Home Win
1.75
Upcoming
MEDIUM
Predicted: 2-0
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AC Milan vs Fiorentina — Milan are formidable at San Siro, having won 5 of their last 6 home fixtures, driven by rapid wide play and a solid double-pivot midfield. Fiorentina are a possession-heavy team, but they deeply struggle to turn possession into high-quality chances against elite defenses, failing to score in 3 of their last 5 away games against top-half opposition. Milan's ability to absorb possession and counter ruthlessly makes them heavy favorites.
Home Win at 1.75 is a solid anchor for accumulators.
Milan Home W 5 in 6
Fiorentina Away Blank 3 in 5 (Top Half)
Milan xG 1.95
Bologna v Torino
Serie A · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara · Sun 13 Apr · 12:30
Under 2.5 Goals
1.55
Upcoming
LARGE
Predicted: 1-0
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Bologna vs Torino — If you are looking for pure, defensive Italian tactical grit, this is the match. Torino matches have featured Under 2.5 goals in an incredible 72% of their fixtures this season, thanks to a rigid back three that offers zero space centrally. Bologna are equally organized under Thiago Motta, controlling possession but rarely taking immense risks. Expect a midfield stalemate where one goal might settle the entire contest.
Under 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.55 for a reason—it is highly probable.
Torino U2.5 Rate 72%
Bologna Home U2.5 60%
Combined xG 1.82
Genoa v Sassuolo
Serie A · Stadio Luigi Ferraris · Sun 13 Apr · 15:00
Draw
3.30
Upcoming
SMALL
Predicted: 1-1
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Genoa vs Sassuolo — Genoa at the Marassi are incredibly difficult to beat, recording 7 home draws this season. They play a physical, deep-lying system that frustrates opponents. Sassuolo possess higher individual attacking quality but are defensively porous on the road, meaning they often score but concede easily. With Genoa happy to play for a point and Sassuolo struggling to kill off games, the
Draw at 3.30 is the standout value pick.
Genoa Home Draws 7 in 15
Sassuolo Away CS Just 2
H2H (Last 4) 2 Draws
Hellas Verona v Lecce
Serie A · Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi · Sun 13 Apr · 18:00
Home Win
2.20
Upcoming
MEDIUM
Predicted: 1-0
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Hellas Verona vs Lecce — A massive "six-pointer" in the relegation battle. Verona's survival hopes hinge almost entirely on their home form at the Bentegodi, where they have managed to grind out narrow wins against sides around them in the table. Lecce's away record is dismal; they struggle immensely to create chances on the road, posting the second-lowest away xG in the division (0.78). Verona's desperation and slight home advantage justify taking the
Home Win at an appealing 2.20.
Lecce Away xG 0.78
Verona Home xGA 1.20
Lecce Away L 8 in 15
Salernitana v Empoli
Serie A · Stadio Arechi · Mon 14 Apr · 18:30
Away Win
2.50
Upcoming
MEDIUM
Predicted: 0-1
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Salernitana vs Empoli — Salernitana sit rock bottom of Serie A, leaking goals at an alarming rate and showing little structure to suggest a turnaround. Empoli, while not spectacular, have shown a pronounced tactical improvement recently, grinding out crucial points on the road to pull themselves clear of the drop zone. Empoli's ability to counter-attack against a disjointed Salernitana defense makes
Away Win at 2.50 a very strong value play to close out the weekend.
Salernitana Home L 10 in 15
Salernitana xGA 2.15
Empoli Away W 3 in last 6
Cagliari v Udinese
Serie A · Unipol Domus · Mon 14 Apr · 20:45
Under 2.5 Goals
1.68
Upcoming
MEDIUM
Predicted: 1-1
Match Preview
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Cagliari vs Udinese — Udinese are the undisputed draw specialists of Serie A, having drawn 14 matches this season. Their away setup is extremely deep and compact, designed purely to disrupt the opponent's rhythm. Cagliari are combative at home but lack elite creative playmakers to break down low blocks easily. This projects to be a highly physical, attritional game played largely in the middle third of the pitch.
Under 2.5 Goals is the logical data-driven selection.
Udinese Draws 14 overall
Udinese Away U2.5 65%
Combined xG 2.02
Monza v Frosinone
Serie A · U-Power Stadium · Sat 12 Apr · 15:00
Over 2.5 Goals
1.80
Upcoming
MEDIUM
Predicted: 2-1
Match Preview
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Monza vs Frosinone — A rare Serie A fixture with genuine shootout potential. Frosinone play a surprisingly open, attacking style for a promoted team, leading to them conceding heavily away from home (averaging 2.4 goals against on the road). Monza are comfortable in possession and very capable of punishing high defensive lines. Given Frosinone's inability to shut up shop, backing
Over 2.5 Goals at 1.80 is a strong angle in a league where goals are usually priced at a premium.
Frosinone Away xGA 2.18
Frosinone Away O2.5 68%
Monza Home xG 1.55
Juventus v Napoli
Serie A · Allianz Stadium · Sat 5 Apr · FT
Draw
3.20
1 – 1
✅ Won
MEDIUM
Predicted: 1-1
Lazio v Inter Milan
Serie A · Stadio Olimpico · Sat 5 Apr · FT
Away Win
1.90
0 – 1
✅ Won
LARGE
Predicted: 0-2
AC Milan v AS Roma
Serie A · San Siro · Sat 5 Apr · FT
Home Win
1.85
2 – 0
✅ Won
MEDIUM
Predicted: 1-0
Atalanta v Bologna
Serie A · Gewiss Stadium · Sun 6 Apr · FT
Home Win
1.75
1 – 2
❌ Lost
LARGE
Predicted: 2-1
Fiorentina v Torino
Serie A · Stadio Artemio Franchi · Sun 6 Apr · FT
Under 2.5 Goals
1.60
0 – 0
✅ Won
MEDIUM
Predicted: 1-1
Sassuolo v Hellas Verona
Serie A · Mapei Stadium · Sun 6 Apr · FT
BTTS Yes
1.72
2 – 1
✅ Won
LARGE
Predicted: 2-1
Lecce v Cagliari
Serie A · Stadio Via del mare · Sun 6 Apr · FT
Home Win
2.30
1 – 0
✅ Won
SMALL
Predicted: 1-0
Empoli v Genoa
Serie A · Stadio Carlo Castellani · Fri 4 Apr · FT
Draw
3.05
0 – 0
✅ Won
MEDIUM
Predicted: 1-1
Udinese v Salernitana
Serie A · Bluenergy Stadium · Sat 5 Apr · FT
Under 2.5 Goals
1.85
3 – 1
❌ Lost
MEDIUM
Predicted: 2-0
Frosinone v Monza
Serie A · Stadio Benito Stirpe · Sun 6 Apr · FT
Home Win
2.45
1 – 2
❌ Lost
SMALL
Predicted: 1-1
ITA BTTS Rate
50%
Season average 24/25
ITA Under 2.5
54%
Season average 24/25
ITA Avg Corners
9.6
Per game 24/25
ITA Home Wins
46%
Season average 24/25
About These Predictions
Serie A Predictions — Every Matchweek, Every Fixture
FootyBlazer covers every Serie A fixture across every matchweek of the 2024/25 season. This page is structured to show you two matchweeks at once — last week's completed fixtures with verified results and tip verdicts, and the upcoming matchweek's full match previews. Every tip published here is the product of genuine pre-match research using xG data, head-to-head records, team form, tactical analysis, and injury context. Losing tips are recorded and displayed here alongside winning ones — FootyBlazer's commitment to transparency means you can audit every prediction we make, week by week, across the full season.
The 2024/25 Serie A season continues Italy's grand tradition of tactical chess matches, rigid defensive low blocks, and game management. Unlike the high-scoring environments of Germany or England, Serie A rewards bettors who can identify low-event fixtures. You'll notice a higher frequency of Under 2.5 Goals and Draw selections on this page compared to other leagues, directly reflecting the setups of Italian mid-table clubs. FootyBlazer's approach is to identify statistically supported value in these gritty fixtures — and our 68 percent season-long strike rate reflects the quality of that research.
How the Weekly Format Works
Every weekend of the Serie A season, FootyBlazer publishes a full set of match previews for that matchweek's 10 fixtures. Each preview covers both teams' recent form, head-to-head records, xG figures, the recommended bet type, a predicted scoreline, and a stake size reflecting analyst confidence. After the matchweek concludes, this page updates to show the verified results. The page always prioritizes the upcoming week's tips at the top, so you can lock in your bets, while keeping the previous week's audited results available just below.
Serie A Betting Markets Covered
FootyBlazer covers the full range of Serie A betting markets each matchweek. Match result (1X2) tips are standard, but the real value in Italy often lies in the Under 2.5 goals market and strategic Draws. With the league's Under 2.5 rate consistently hovering above 50%, finding the right tactical stalemates to back is crucial. Corners Over/Under tips are also heavily utilized, covered extensively on our dedicated corners page with Serie A-specific data updated every matchweek.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How often are Serie A predictions updated?
FootyBlazer publishes Serie A match previews for every fixture as soon as the matchweek schedule is confirmed — typically mid-week before the matches. Tips are refreshed on the morning of each fixture as confirmed team news and line-ups emerge. Results and verdicts are updated after every fixture concludes.
What markets does FootyBlazer cover for Serie A betting?
FootyBlazer covers match result (1X2), BTTS, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 1.5 Goals, corners over/under, and correct score markets for every Serie A fixture each matchweek. Dedicated market pages are available for BTTS, Over 2.5, Under 2.5, and Corners.
Why is the Under 2.5 Goals rate prominent in Serie A?
Serie A maintains a strong tradition of tactical rigor, low-block defending, and game management. Teams often prioritize not conceding over expansive attacking play, especially away from home. Consequently, the league averages fewer goals per game than the Bundesliga or Premier League, making Under 2.5 markets highly valuable.
Why does FootyBlazer show losing tips?
Because transparency is how trust is built. Every losing tip is recorded here so you can track our full matchweek-by-matchweek record across the season. We never remove or edit losing picks from the record.